North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2009 - 2010 - 2011
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State Rank #10
Carmel Semi-State Rank #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 10.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 47.7%
Advance to State Finals 82.4%
Advance to Semi-State 97.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
14  Brenna Poulsen 11 18:50
70  Marissa Stephens 11 19:34
125  Annie Lohrstorfer 9 19:59
147  Allie Rogers 11 20:04
Meghan Fox 11 20:13
Caroline Hawes 11 20:44
Alison Logan 12 21:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 82.4% 9.7 280 0.6 2.0 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.4 7.7 8.6 8.9 8.4 7.7 6.5 5.0 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 97.8% 5.2 168 1.4 9.6 18.6 30.6 22.3 10.9 3.5 0.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.4 107 18.7 41.8 25.2 12.1 1.9 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 34 99.3 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 92.7% 15.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.0 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.2 58.2% 85.4%
Marissa Stephens 82.5% 56.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2% 2.9%
Annie Lohrstorfer 82.4% 87.8 0.0% 0.0%
Allie Rogers 82.4% 94.9 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Fox 82.4% 105.8 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Hawes 82.4% 137.1 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Logan 82.4% 172.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 99.5% 8.3 3.1 4.4 5.2 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.1 7.1 7.4 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.9 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 78.2% 97.8%
Marissa Stephens 97.8% 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.6 0.0% 17.0%
Annie Lohrstorfer 97.8% 46.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.0% 0.5%
Allie Rogers 97.8% 50.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 100% 6.6 4.1 5.4 6.8 8.7 9.4 10.4 9.5 9.1 8.3 7.3 6.1 4.8 3.8 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Marissa Stephens 100% 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.9 5.2 6.9 8.0 8.8 9.3 10.3 9.8 9.3 6.4 5.2 3.2 100.0%
Annie Lohrstorfer 100% 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.7 3.9 5.9 7.4 8.5 8.6 100.0%
Allie Rogers 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.6 5.0 6.1 7.4 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Poulsen 1.2 43.7 39.8 12.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
Marissa Stephens 4.8 0.1 0.9 8.6 19.1 27.5 29.1 11.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
Annie Lohrstorfer 7.5 0.1 0.5 2.6 8.8 23.3 27.6 19.6 10.2 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Allie Rogers 8.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.7 14.1 23.4 24.7 17.1 8.6 3.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0